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What does it look like in the NFC West for Week 1 of the NFL season in the prop market?

Weekly NFC West Player Props: Focus on Running Backs

After months of waiting, free agency, the NFL Draft, minicamps, and preseason boredom, it’s finally time for Week 1 of the NFL season. We’re breaking down the action from various angles, including player props for everyone’s 2023 debut.

Today, I will laser focus on just the NFC West and highlight two NFL bets I will make on player props.

What does it look like in the NFC West for Week 1 of the NFL season in the prop market?
Tim Nwachukwu / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP

Kenneth Walker III Under 63 Rushing Yards (-115)

I am in no way doubting Kenneth Walker III’s ability to play as well as he did during his rookie season by betting under his rushing total with my first NFL pick. My suspicion that he can’t go over 63 yards rushing stems from Seattle’s injury report and its second-ound pick in the NFL Draft, Zach Charbonnet.

Walker has been dealing with a groin injury for most of the preseason and was limited at Thursday’s practice. Sure, Walker went over 100 yards in his final three games of the 2022 season and faces off against a weak Los Angeles Rams defense. But if he’s not 100%, the Seahawks will be incentivized not to push him too hard. The last thing Seattle wants is to lose one of their best players in a game they probably don’t need him to win.

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Walker wasn’t an every-down back as a rookie until Rashaad Penny went down with an injury in Week 5. Now that the former Michigan and UCLA standout is in Seattle, Walker likely won’t see the number of snaps he did at last season’s end. He also was inconsistent as a rookie, with four straight games under 50 yards before his final three starts of the regular season.

Charbonnet is a much better pass catcher and could also get much work in mid- and short-yardage situations.

Christian McCaffrey Anytime TD Scorer (-112)

I love McCaffrey’s TD props because he is one of the most dangerous dual-threat players out of the backfield. He had eight rushing touchdowns and five receiving touchdowns in 2022, and I love his NFL odds to cross the goal line in Week 1 against the Pittsburgh Steelers.

I don’t have much to say about McCaffrey that his resume doesn’t tell already. He is a touchdown-scoring machine with 10 scores in 11 games following his trade to the 49ers. He is the best rushing-receiving threat in the NFL, and Kyle Shanahan trusts him enough to work McCaffrey hard in the red zone.

Across the board, I think he’s the best “lock” to score a Week 1 TD at such reasonable odds.

Checking the Vegas NFL odds and NFL lines before placing your bets is always a smart move for informed decisions.

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