The top seed in the WNBA has continued to show why, as the Las Vegas Aces take a 2-0 lead in their semifinal series against the Dallas Wings. WNBA betting lines are leaning toward the Aces cleaning up this series quickly, returning to the Finals, and defending their title.
While the Aces dominated in Game 1, winning by 14 points, the Wings kept it much closer in Game 2. The Aces won, 91-84, but the Wings cut the lead to four points late in the fourth quarter, trying to make a run.
Aces’ Wilson Can’t Be Slowed Down
After surprisingly finishing third in MVP voting, A’ja Wilson came out with extra motivation. Las Vegas WNBA odds had Wilson as one of the favorites to win the award, and for her to finish third was a shocker.
The Wings would get the blunt end of Wilson’s frustration, unable to face one of the two players that received more votes than her till the Finals. She scored 30 points with 11 rebounds and blocked two shots. It was her third straight 30-point game in the playoffs, being the first WNBA player to do so.
Wilson was not the only reason the Aces won Game 2, with Chelsea Gray scoring 23 points, mostly making shots over tough defense, and adding eight assists. Then, after scoring 25 points in the first game, Kelsey Plum didn’t slow down much, with 18 in Game 2, hitting four threes. The core four players for the Aces dominated, with Jackie Young scoring 13 points with nine rebounds.
Those four players are the main reason why WNBA betting lines are siding with the Aces to reach the Finals in back-to-back seasons. However, what remains concerning is that the other three players who played for the Aces combined for seven points. Against the Wings, that might not be an issue, but in the Finals, the Aces’ lack of depth could prove to be a potential problem.
A’ja Wilson is the first player in WNBA Playoffs history to average 30 points, 10 rebounds, and 3 blocks over a 3-game span pic.twitter.com/x49wWWZ9vW
— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) September 27, 2023
Wings Managed to Hang Around
In Game 1, for the most part, the Wings did not rise to the challenge. Both star players Arike Ogunbowale and Satou Sabally struggled, and while the game was close heading into halftime, the Aces quickly expanded their lead.
Game 2 was different. Ogunbowale came to play, scoring 24 points and hitting six threes, but did so on 9-22 from the field. She also got help from Natasha Howard, who scored 20 points with 10 rebounds. However, Sabally struggled against the Aces’ defense, shooting 5-17 and scoring 13 points. All three need to get going to give the Wings a chance in WNBA picks, and maybe being at home can jumpstart them.
However, it is worth noting that the Wings won the fourth quarter of Game 2, 27-21, behind Ogunbowale scoring 12 points and Howard adding seven.
The Wings have been unable to slow down the Aces’ offense, so they need to lean into their All-Star offensive talent, which was third in pace during the regular season. It hasn’t happened often in this series because of the Aces’ overall skill, but there have been flashes of the Wings trying to play fast and offensively aggressively, like in the fourth quarter of Game 2.
If Sabally can get something going, along with Ogunbowale and Howard staying consistent, they will give the Wings a chance to keep this game close. This is a do-or-die game for the Wings at home, and it is the perfect time for them to put all their eggs in one basket and try to outshoot the Aces because the defense isn’t holding up.
Aces vs Wings Betting Odds
Aces vs Wings Best Bet
WNBA odds have favored the Aces to get back to the Finals all season, and this should be the game they do so. Las Vegas is too good for Dallas overall and should be able to win this series in Game 3.
However, the Wings will not go down without a fight. They showed that at the end of Game 2 and should carry that success over into this game at home. While the Aces may still win, the Wings will keep it close enough to cover WNBA spreads.
WNBA Best Bet: Wings +6 -110
Aces vs Wings Game Information
• Game: Aces (34-6) vs Wings (22-18)
• Location: College Park Center,
• Day/Time: Friday, Sept. 29, 9:30 p.m. ET
• Aces vs Wings Live Stream: WNBA.com