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Fever Pull Off ATS Betting Stunner vs Favored Wings

Four Teams Fighting for Final Playoff Spots

The final week of the regular season is here. Las Vegas, New York, Connecticut, Dallas and Minnesota have clinched playoff spots. Indiana, Phoenix and Seattle are out of playoff contention. But regarding WNBA predictions, no game has more playoff implications than the showdown between Atlanta and Washington.

Minnesota leads the league by covering against the WNBA spreads in 21 of its games, with Connecticut right behind at 20.

The favorites were just 6-2 ATS over the weekend, with the biggest surprise being Indiana’s 13-point win in overtime against host Dallas on Sunday as the Wings were 9½-point favorites.

When looking at our WNBA lines, the Aces (-165) and New York Liberty (+150) have the best odds to win the WNBA title, while A’ja Wilson of the Aces and New York’s Breanna Stewart are running almost neck-and-neck in the MVP race.

Down the Stretch They Come

Things are starting to come into focus in the WNBA playoff race.

Las Vegas and New York are fighting for the top spot, with the Aces leading New York by 1½ games. Connecticut is sitting in third place, while Dallas and Minnesota have also secured playoff spots.

Four teams are going after the final three spots as the Seattle Storm, Indiana Fever and Phoenix Mercury have been eliminated from playoff contention.

The No. 6 seed may come down to the upcoming showdown between Atlanta and Washington. Los Angeles is just a game back of Atlanta and Washington, with Chicago two games behind. Avoiding Las Vegas and New York in the first round of the playoffs would be the reward to the team securing the No. 6 seed.

The regular season ends with all 12 teams in action on Sunday. The Sparks have what looks like the easiest game with a matchup against Seattle.

Chicago might need a win at Connecticut, Atlanta welcomes Dallas to town and the Washington Mystics play at New York.

MVP Race Too Close to Call

There is little drama regarding the Rookie of the Year race. Aliyah Boston of the Indiana Fever will win that award and do so rather comfortably.

But it is a different story when it comes to the MVP battle.

Connecticut’s Alyssa Thomas has fallen off the pace. Our WNBA odds have her priced at +1000 to win the MVP. That leaves Breanna Stewart of the Seattle Storm and A’ja Wilson of the Las Vegas Aces as the front-runners.

Stewart is currently priced at -110, with Wilson checking in at -115 as this could be one the closest MVP races in recent memory.

Stewart is second in the WNBA with an average of 22.8 points per game, with Wilson third at 22.3. Wilson comes in second in rebounding (9.6 per game), just ahead of Stewart’s mark of 9.4

Time for Some Number-Crunching

Minnesota and Connecticut are the only teams to have covered against the spread in at least 20 games.

New York, Chicago, Los Angeles and Seattle could hit the 20-win mark the next time out.

Phoenix is 13-24 ATS, so the struggles have come on the scoreboard and against the Las Vegas WNBA odds.

Minnesota and Los Angeles are three games over .500 ATS when listed as the underdogs, so keep that in mind when the playoffs roll around.

Dallas and Minnesota are setting the pace by having 22 of their games finish over the total, while just 14 games played by Los Angeles and Washington have landed over the total.

Player of the Week

Satou Sabally, Dallas Wings: Despite a tough shooting performance in Sunday’s overtime loss to Indiana, Sabally gets the nod.

She had 40 points on 13-of-19 shooting in Friday’s win over Indiana. In three games during the week, she averaged 28 points, 7.7 rebounds, 5.3 assists and two steals per game. She has scored at least 20 points in six of her last eight games.

Rookie of the Week

Aliyah Boston, Indiana Fever: Averaging a double-double gets Boston the honor once again.

The top pick in the 2023 WNBA Draft wrapped up a strong week by putting up 13 points, 11 rebounds, five assists, two steals and two blocked shots in a 97-84 overtime win against Dallas.

That came two days after she scored a season-high 27 points to go with 11 rebounds and five assists against Dallas.

Game of the Week

Atlanta Dream vs Washington Mystics

Friday, Sept. 8, 7 p.m. ET (ION)

A matchup of two teams with losing records is not usually named game of the week. However, this game might impact the playoff seedings more than any other this week.

Atlanta has won the last two matchups and can take the season series with a win. This might come down to the winner of the game heading to Connecticut to open the playoffs, with the loser drawing a New York team playing better than any other team in the WNBA right now.

Washington won seven in a row versus Atlanta before the Dream won by five and seven points in the last two meetings.

Injury Update

The last thing that Los Angeles needs as they make a playoff push is for star forward Nneka Ogwumike to be listed as day-to-day. Her sister Chiney Ogwumike and guard Nia Clouden are out as the Sparks play at Connecticut on Tuesday.

New York just rolled past Chicago without All-Star guard Sabrina Ionescu. Her status for Tuesday’s matchup against Dallas is up in the air. Dallas center Kalani Brown is also questionable.

When Chicago meets Indiana, Sky’s Alanna Smith and Indiana’s Kristy Wallace are questionable.

Will there be enough players to take the court when Washington and Phoenix square off on Tuesday?

Mercury guards Shay Peddy and Sophia Cunningham are out. Will Diana Taurasi join them on the bench?

For Washington, guards Kristi Toliver and Ariel Atkins and post players Shakira Austin and Queen Egbo are listed as day-to-day.

Nationally Televised Games

Sky at Fever, Tuesday, Sept. 5, 7 p.m. ET (NBA TV): Rookie of the Year front-runner Aliyah Boston had just four points in her last game against Chicago after averaging 21 points and 9.5 rebounds in the first two matchups of 2023.

Liberty at Wings, Tuesday, Sept. 5, 8 p.m. (CBS Sports Network): The last four games between the teams went over the total, with the two games in 2023 having 186 and 193 points, so don’t expect a defensive struggle.

Mystics at Mercury, Tuesday, Sept. 5, 10 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network): The Mystics still have plenty to play for in 2023, the Mercury not so much.

Storm at Dream, Wednesday, Sept. 6, 7 p.m. ET (NBA TV): Jewell Loyd of Seattle is closing in on the WNBA scoring championship, while Atlanta’s Rhyne Howard is looking to break out of a recent shooting slump.

Fever at Sun, Friday, Sept. 8, 7 p.m. ET (ION): Connecticut looks to sweep the regular-season series from Indiana for the second season in a row.

Dream at Mystics, Friday, Sept. 8, 7 p.m. ET (ION): This matchup might decide which team gets the No. 6 seed in the upcoming playoffs.

Lynx at Sky, Friday, Sept. 8, 8 p.m. ET (ION): Minnesota won back-to-back games to reach .500 and clinch a playoff spot. Chicago is fighting to get into the playoffs as well.

Storm at Wings, Friday, Sept. 8, 8 p.m. ET (ION): After two offensive shootouts, Dallas and Seattle struggled to score the last time out. Expect a more free-flowing matchup this time around.

Aces at Mercury, Friday, Sept. 8, 10 p.m. ET (ION): Las Vegas goes after its seventh win in a row against Phoenix. The first two matchups in 2023 have not been close, with the Aces winning by 20 and 26 points.

Sky at Sun, Sunday, Sept. 10, 1 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network): It could be quite the scene with former Connecticut Sun guard Courtney Williams and the Sky possibly needing to win to get into the playoffs.

Mystics at Liberty, Sunday, Sept. 10, 1 p.m. ET (NBA TV): Could this be a precursor to a playoff matchup between Washington and New York?

Mercury at Aces, Sunday, Sept. 10, 3 p.m. ET (ESPN2): With all the injuries this season, who will be suiting up for Phoenix in the final game of 2023?

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