Blue Jays Betting Pick in Home Opener vs Mariners
Three series into the season, the Toronto Blue Jays will host the Seattle Mariners in their home opener. With the Blue Jays playing at home for the first time, that could lean picks for the MLB in their favor, but neither team has won a series this season.
In the last series, the Mariners lost two of three on the road against the Milwaukee Brewers, losing the final game 12-4. The Blue Jays were on the road against the New York Yankees, winning the first game and dropping the next two.
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Mariners vs Blue Jays Game Information
- Game: Mariners (4-6) vs Blue Jays (4-6)
- Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
- Day/Time: Monday, April 8, 7:07 p.m.
- Mariners vs Blue Jays Live Stream: MLB.tv
This pitching matchup could heavily affect this game and should be a top MLB bet today, with each team having arguably their best pitcher on the mound. Despite struggling early, with a 6.75 ERA through two games, Luis Castillo (0-2, 6.75 ERA) is still the Mariners’ top pitcher. He pitched 5.2 innings in his last outing, striking out seven, but did allow four runs on 10 hits. On the other hand, Jose Berrios (1-0, 2.25) has looked like the top pitcher for the Blue Jays, going six innings in both of his starts and holding opponents to two or fewer runs.
Mariners vs Blue Jays Odds and Spreads
Mariners vs Blue Jays Betting Trends
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 away games (+10.89 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 80 games at home (+10.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 42 away games (+12.17 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 66 games at home (+12.34 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 away games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 away games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games at home (+1.85 Units / 15% ROI)
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Mariners vs Blue Jays Moneyline Pick: Blue Jays -115
The pitching matchup is one of the biggest reasons why MLB lines favor the Blue Jays in this game. Berrios has started strong this season with two solid performances. On opening day, he pitched six innings, allowing two runs with six strikeouts. The strikeouts dipped to just two in his second start, but he still pitched six innings, allowing one run.
In addition, the Mariners’ lineup could be better. They have only scored 31 runs, which is 3.1 average per game. Given the level that Berrios is pitching at right now and how the Mariners’ lineup has been swinging the bat recently, it makes sense to back the Blue Jays for MLB predictions.
However, the Blue Jays’ lineup has also struggled with consistency. They only score 3.6 runs per game, which is helped by three games in which they put up eight or more runs. In all seven other games this season, the Blue Jays were held to three or fewer runs. Being back in Toronto and facing a pitcher who has allowed four runs in each of his two starts this season could help jump-start the Blue Jays offense.
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Mariners vs Blue Jays Over/Under Pick: Over 8 (-115)
The over/under option in this game could be challenging for MLB betting. The Blue Jays’ lineup could get some help from Castillo to jump-start their offense, especially in their home opener. However, the Mariners have had difficulty scoring runs and are going up against Berrios, who has started the season off well.
Despite both lineups not at their best at the moment, it makes sense to side with the over in this game. If the Blue Jays can capitalize on Castillo’s possible poor pitching, hitting the over could have a high chance of happening.
Mariners vs Blue Jays Player Prop Pick: Luis Castillo Over 2.5 Earned Runs (+100)
In each of Castillo’s first two games this season, he has allowed four runs in at least five innings of work. While the Blue Jays are not one of the hottest lineups in the league, they have more than enough talent to put up runs against a struggling pitcher. Castillo has not looked great in either outing, which could lead to a solid offensive game for the Blue Jays.
Mariners vs Blue Jays Score Prediction
Questions of the Day
Has either team in this game won a series?
The Mariners and the Blue Jays have yet to win a series this season. They both split their four-game opening series and then lost the next two.
Who has the pitching advantage in this matchup?
Blue Jays starting pitcher Jose Berrios has a 2.25 ERA while Mariners pitcher Luis Castillo has a 6.75 ERA.
The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.
