Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets Betting Analysis
Betting on the MLB offers a tempting series at Citi Field this week as the New York Mets play host to the Philadelphia Phillies. The teams are at the top of the NL East and that is no surprise because they are loaded with talent.
When it comes to MLB odds to win the MLB World Series, both teams currently sit at +1000. The Mets have been tough to beat at home, while the Phillies are playing mediocre baseball on the road. Do not be surprised if tempers and emotions boil over at some point when these contenders play in 2025.
The Monday game offers an interesting pitching matchup. Aaron Nola signed a seven-year contract with the Phillies and he has not lived up to it in any shape.
Keep an eye on MLB lines because Nola’s 0-4 start and bloated ERA could lead to juicy odds for the road team against Tyler Megill, who is 2-2 with a 1.40 ERA for the Amazin’s.
Nola can’t be as bad as he has pitched, can he?
New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians Betting Analysis
The other New York team is on the road for a testing series as the Yankees visit the Guardians in Cleveland. MLB odds have the Yankees at +850 with the Guardians at +2000.
Cleveland has been tough to tackle at home while the Bronx Bombers have not shown as much punch on the road as they have at Yankee Stadium.
The Tuesday matchup should be on to look at the over when it comes to total runs. Expected starting pitchers Tanner Bibee for the home team and Will Warren for the Yankees can be had. Bibee’s ERA is more than 7 and while Warren’s ERA overall is 5.19, his ERA on the road is almost 8.
When it comes to bet on the MLB on Tuesday, make sure to check out the totals for runs. This could be a high-scoring game.
St. Louis Cardinals at Atlanta Braves Betting Analysis
Teams that have strong MLB histories meet in Atlanta. Neither has played good baseball thus far in the 2025 season. The Cardinals have been awful on the road. The Braves got off to a terrible start but have started to stabilize. However, they have dug themselves a hole in the NL East where the Mets and Phillies are thriving.
Andre Pallante and Bryce Elder are scheduled to meet on Wednesday in a day game on getaway day.
While the Redbirds are no bargain on the road, when it comes to MLB lines BetUS, this could be the spot for the Cardinals to get a win away from home. Pallante is 2-1 with a 3.22 ERA.
The one loss did come in a road game.
However, his opponent has not been pitching well. Elder is 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA, allowing 12 runs in 15 innings. If the Cardinals are going to find a way on the road, this could be the spot at nice odds.
Featured MLB Betting Markets:
- MLB Moneyline – Bet on which team wins, no matter the score.
- MLB Run Lines (Spreads) – Wager on the spread, typically set at ±1.5 runs.
- MLB Totals (Over/Under) – Predict whether total runs go over or under a set number.
- MLB First 5 Innings Bets – Shorter-duration bets focusing on the game’s early action.
- MLB Prop Bets – Bet on player, team, and game-specific outcomes.
- MLB Futures Odds – World Series winners, AL/NL Champions, and MVP odds.
MLB Futures Odds – Bet on Season-Long Markets
Want to bet beyond daily matchups? Explore our featured MLB futures odds:
- World Series Winner – Bet on the team that will be crowned World Series champion at the end of the season.
- AL/NL Pennant Champions – Wager on which team will win the American League (AL) or National League (NL) pennant and advance to the World Series.
- MVP, Cy Young & Rookie of the Year – Predict the winners of MLB’s top individual awards, including Most Valuable Player (MVP), Cy Young (best pitcher), and Rookie of the Year.
- Regular Season Win Totals – Bet Over or Under on a team’s total wins over the 162-game MLB season.
How to Bet on MLB Odds
The typical ways to bet on MLB games are like most team sports. There is against the spread, where a team has to win by more runs than it is favored by or lose by less than it is the underdog.
There is the moneyline where you are betting on your team to win the game. Sounds simple, right? It isn’t because odds teeter and there is no guarantee an upset won’t happen. Then there is the total where you are betting whether a game will go over or under a certain number of runs. There are many MLB games every night – and sometimes during the day – so one can do their work and find the perfect spot to make a wager on the game of their choice.
MLB Moneyline Betting
Pick the outright winner—no spreads involved.
Example: If the Yankees (-140) face the Red Sox (+120), betting $140 on the Yankees wins $100 if they win, while a $100 bet on the Red Sox returns $120 if they win.
MLB Spreads (Run Lines)
MLB spreads are called Run Lines, typically set at ±1.5 runs.
Example: If the Dodgers -1.5 beat the Mets by 2+ runs, the bet wins. If the Mets +1.5 lose by 1 run or win outright, the bet wins.
MLB Totals (Over/Under Bets)
Bet on the combined total runs of a game.
Example: If the total for Cubs vs. Phillies is 8.5, an Over bet wins if 9+ runs are scored, while an Under bet wins if 8 or fewer runs are scored.
MLB Player & Game Prop Bets
Bet on specific players or game events beyond just the final score.
Examples:
- Player Prop – If Aaron Judge’s total home runs line is set at 1.5, an Over bet wins if he hits 2 or more home runs, while an Under bet wins if he hits 1 or none.
- Game Prop – If a bet is on “Will the Yankees score first?”, the wager wins if the Yankees score before their opponent.
First 5 Innings Lines (F5 Bets)
Bet on the outcome of the game’s first five innings, focusing on starting pitchers and early scoring.
Examples:
- F5 Moneyline – If the Braves F5 Moneyline is -150 against the Cubs, the bet wins if the Braves are leading after five innings. If the score is tied or the Cubs are ahead, the bet loses.
- F5 Run Line – If the Yankees -0.5 (F5) are playing the Red Sox, the Yankees must be leading after five innings for the bet to win. If tied or lost, the bet loses.
- F5 Over/Under – If the F5 total for Dodgers vs. Phillies is 4.5, an Over bet wins if 5+ runs are scored in the first five innings, while an Under bet wins if 4 or fewer runs are scored.
MLB History & Its Impact on Betting
Major League Baseball (MLB) has been the gold standard of professional baseball since its official formation in 1903. With 162 games per season, MLB offers more betting opportunities than any other major sport.
Betting on baseball dates back to the early 20th century, evolving from simple moneyline wagers to today’s run lines, player props, and live betting markets.
Advanced statistics and analytics have made MLB odds sharper than ever, giving bettors an edge when analyzing pitching matchups, run totals, and team performance trends.
