Rams Hanging in as Chalk Despite 1-2 Start
Bills Moving Toward Top Spot in Futures Market
The Los Angeles Rams are 1-2 and gave up 30 points in the second half against the Denver Broncos in Week 3. They are without stars Puka Nacua and Myles Garrett. Yet, Super Bowl odds still have them at +650, favorites to win it all.
The other teams are creeping up on the Rams. One of those is the 3-0 Buffalo Bills, who sit at +700 if you place Super Bowl bets. The Bills were fortunate to beat the Chargers in Week 3 as they committed a handful of turnovers. This week, the Bills face the team that won the AFC East last year, the New England Patriots.
New England and quarterback Drake Maye are struggling at 1-2. The Patriots were clobbered by another playoff team from last year, Jacksonville, which is 2-1 and atop the AFC South. New England sits at +3000 in Super Bowl lines to win it all. One can expect that number to rise if the Bills take down their division opponents on Sunday.
Jacksonville, meanwhile, is +2000 and has been playing strong football. Trevor Lawrence is playing like the star the Jags wanted when they drafted him out of Clemson. The rest of the division is struggling. Houston, which was a wild-card last year and so much was expected from is 0-3 and +3500. Tennessee is awful, could only score one touchdown at the New York Giants, and is +60000. Those odds will rise for sure. The Colts finally snapped a long slide against the Texans and are +7000.
The AFC West has the Chiefs at +1100. That is a nice number given the way Patrick Mahomes has looked thus far. Super Bowl odds have the Denver Broncos at +2000, which seems like a play at this point. The Chargers are 0-3 and +8000 and rising. Jim Harbaugh has no answers through the first three weeks. The stunning Raiders are 3-0, and their odds have dropped to +8000. Feels like that number will tick upward again once the Silver and Black come back to earth, which could start in Week 4 against KC.
49ers Looking Fine in 2026
The 49ers are one of three powerhouses from the NFC West, along with the Rams and Super Bowl champion Seahawks. San Francisco is atop the division and is +900 on Super Bowl lines to win it all. Seattle is coming off a stunning loss to Washington. That left the champs’ number at +1000. The final team in the division is the Arizona Cardinals, and they are the longest of long shots at +40000.
In the NFC North, the Vikings are the lone unbeaten, which is a surprise. They are starting to gain respect in Super Bowl futures at +2200. The Bears have all sorts of quarterback problems and are +3000. The Packers have fallen on hard times, and they are up to +6000. The final team, the Detroit Lions, got by the Jets and are at +1800. They are flawed until they aren’t.
In the NFC East, always a popular division with bettors, the Eagles are +1500 as they look for a third straight division title. The Cowboys, who lost a brutal game in Rio to the Ravens, are +2800. That number is always tilted because there are so many Dallas fans. The Giants are +12500 despite being 2-1. Washington is the long shot at +10000.
Make sure to follow the Super Bowl futures market at BetUS, America’s favorite sportsbook, for the best odds options.
How Super Bowl Futures Odds Work
A Super Bowl future is a season-long wager on which team will win the championship. Every team in the league is priced, and the price reflects how likely the market considers that team to be. Shorter prices belong to contenders and return less; longer prices belong to outsiders and return more.
Any price can be converted into an implied probability. For a plus-number future, divide 100 by the price plus 100. A team priced at +900 works out to 100 ÷ 1000, or a 10% chance. Running that conversion across the board is the quickest way to see whether a team’s price matches your own view of their chances.
Futures are settled only after the Super Bowl is played, so a ticket bought in September stays open for roughly five months.
When to Bet Super Bowl Futures
Prices are at their longest before the season begins, when nothing has been decided, and the market is working from projections alone. They shorten as a team wins and lengthen after losses, injuries and trades.
The price you take is the price you keep. If you back a team in September and they improve through the season, your ticket still pays at the number you locked in, not the shorter price available later. That is the argument for betting early. The argument against it is information: a September bet is made with no results on the board, and a team’s outlook can change entirely on one injury.
Many bettors split the difference by taking a position early on a team they believe in and adding to the board later once the picture is clearer.
What Moves Super Bowl Odds During the Season
Four things move futures prices more than anything else:
- Quarterback health. No single injury moves a team’s championship price further. A backup taking over a contender can double the number overnight.
- Win streaks and losing runs. Sustained form shifts a team’s projected seeding, which shifts their path through the bracket.
- The trade deadline. A contender adding a difference-maker, or a fading team selling, gets repriced immediately.
- Seeding and the bye. Only the top seed in each conference skips the wild card round. A team moving in or out of that position sees a meaningful price change, because one fewer game is one fewer chance to lose.
Reading the AFC and NFC Picture
Seven teams from each conference reach the playoffs: four division winners and three wild cards. That structure shapes futures pricing as much as raw team quality does. A strong team in a weak division has an easier route to a home game than an equally strong team fighting three contenders for the same seed.
It is worth looking at both conferences separately. A conference where several teams sit at similar prices is one the market considers genuinely open, and spreading stakes across two or three of those teams can still return a profit if any of them comes through. A conference with one clear standout offers less room to do that.
BetUS also posts conference winner and division winner markets, which let you back a team’s route without needing them to win the title outright.
How Super Bowl Futures Are Graded at BetUS
All wagers on the Super Bowl LXI winner market have action once placed. Your price is locked at the moment of the bet and later movement does not change the payout. The market settles after the Super Bowl is played, and winning tickets are graded at the price taken.
Super Bowl LXI
Super Bowl LXI is scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027, at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California, the shared home of the Los Angeles Rams and Los Angeles Chargers.
