Odds to win 2024 UEFA Champions League

Europe is at the top of the soccer world. The top leagues, such as the English Premier League, Serie A, La Liga, Bundesliga, and Ligue 1, attract the best players worldwide. That has led to the creation of a European club tournament featuring all the best teams across Europe called the Champions League. This tournament has become one of the most decorated achievements in the world of soccer, which has led to outright Champions League odds for the winner every season.

To even make it to the tournament is an achievement on its own, with only 32 clubs getting there and having Champions League lines to win it. There are many steps that teams must reach to make it into the Champions League, but winning their domestic league either gets you a spot or places you in a qualification playoff. Some bigger leagues, such as the Premier League, have the top four teams of the prior season get automatic spots in the tournament. More minor leagues have to go through the qualification playoffs that feature other champions and runners-ups in the leagues across Europe, playing each other for a spot in the tournament. 

After all that, the 32 teams are divided into eight groups. Within the Group Stage, the four teams all play each other twice, one away and one home. The winners and runners-up of each group advance to a knockout stage. Clubs are put into a bracket and play two legs, one home and one away, with the winner decided based on aggregate score, then moving up the bracket. The Final is played in a neutral setting and is just one game. Because of how hard the tournament is to win, it can be difficult to predict in Champions League betting. 

However, some teams have found consistent success. Real Madrid, from La Liga, has dominated the competition and is always one of the favorites in Champions League lines. The club has won the tournament 14 times, five times since 2014, including 2022. 

Champions League odds span across all different types of leagues and teams, and there are so many clubs in the running to lift the trophy. Barcelona (La Liga), Bayern Munich (Bundesliga), PSG (Ligue 1), Inter Milan (Serie A), and the reigning winner from 2023, Manchester City (Premier League), are all teams spanning different leagues that have won the tournament since 2010. 

For Champions League betting, it often makes sense to go with a team from the top four European leagues. There has not been a winner outside of Spain, England, Germany, or Italy since 1995. These countries consistently have the top leagues, with the clubs that make the most money leading to being the best teams.

Home advantage has long been considered a crucial factor in football, with teams often performing better when playing in front of their own fans. This advantage is more pronounced in the UEFA Champions League knockout stages, where only the top teams qualify in the knockout stages.

In the competition’s history, teams have won over 70% of their first-leg games when played at home. In the last 10 seasons, over 80% of the teams that progressed to the quarterfinals had won their home leg. Given these numbers, you may want to look for value in the To Qualify markets where most teams, that have won their first legs, will be trading odds on to qualify.

In the previous 10 years, the average number of goals scored in the second leg of the round of 16, quarter-finals, and semi-finals combined was 2.6 goals per game, so the over is the way to go even though the first legs are less entertaining.