NFL Regular Season Wins Betting Odds & Lines

Overview

Betting on NFL regular season wins is one of the most popular wagers of the 2023 season. The offseason was one to remember with many teams making significant moves. Perhaps the most notable NFL news was Tom Brady retiring and the New York Jets trading for Aaron Rodgers. Teams also made major upgrades in the 2023 NFL Draft, like the Houston Texans.

There is plenty to consider when looking at the NFL lines for regular season wins. Let’s go over the teams that could drastically improve or decline, impacting their regular season win total.

As mentioned, the Jets acquired one of the NFL’s top quarterbacks. New York has Super Bowl expectations with Rodgers at the helm. The sportsbook adjusted accordingly with the Jets’ projected win total at 9½. If New York is truly a Super Bowl contender, the over will likely hit. It could come down to the Jets’ offensive line and Rodgers’ play. He was underwhelming in the 2022 season.

The New Orleans Saints also made a splash move with the signing of quarterback Derek Carr. The Saints struggled with poor QB play last season. Carr did not play well with the Las Vegas Raiders last season. However, Carr has shown he can play like a top-10 quarterback. If he returns to form, New Orleans should be on its way to the playoffs.

According to NFL odds, the Saints projected regular-season win total is 9½. Keep in mind New Orleans plays in one of the weakest divisions – the NFC South. The Saints have a good chance for a turnaround season, similar to the Jets.

The Detroit Lions are another team that is hot in NFL betting. They surpassed expectations last season, nearly making the playoffs at 9-8. The sportsbook is predicting a similar 2023 season with a projected win total of 9½. Many bettors may love the over after the Lions improved their defense in the offseason. They also have two Rookie of the Year contenders with running back Jahmyr Gibbs and linebacker Jack Campbell.

The NFC South and the NFC North are wide-open divisions that will likely produce surprising results. Brady’s departure from the South and Rodgers leaving the North means nearly any team could win each division. This creates an excellent opportunity to win big with NFL regular-season win bets.

The South includes the Atlanta Falcons, Carolina Panthers, Saints and Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Chicago Bears, Lions, Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings form the North. These eight squads could be the trendy picks for regular-season wins.

Coaching changes always have a big impact on projecting regular-season wins as well. The Denver Broncos hope to take the leap with coach Sean Payton, and the Texans look to turn their franchise around led by coach DeMeco Ryans. Both teams are expected to improve compared to the 2022 season. The Broncos at 8½ wins and the Texans at 6½ wins are interesting teams to watch.

Nearly every team in the NFL makes for an enticing regular-season wins bet. That’s the beauty of this wager. It’s straightforward with a good chance to earn profits. Research how each division has changed during the offseason, and pinpoint which teams could be poised for a successful or disappointing season.

NFL Prop Betting

Some would consider betting on NFL regular season wins a form of futures betting, while others would argue that it is a prop bet.

One thing is clear and that is that the NFL will have more prop betting options than any other sport out there.

Prop betting is meant to be a fun and unique way to wager on sports as you don’t have to bet on the NFL matchups every week.

Player and team props are available for every game, but you can also look at season long props.

Betting on the NFL regular season win totals is not easier, but there are some betting strategies that can help you out.

Perhaps the biggest strategy to use is to place wagers as soon as the schedule is out and the NFL odds are posted.

You will usually find more value when getting a bet in early, and your first impression or gut feeling is usually the right one to focus on.

Before you make the NFL regular season wins bet though, you have to be willing to do some research.

As long as you know how to place a bet on sports then you won’t have any trouble betting on regular season win totals.

This type of bet is going to look just like any other over/under wager, but you’ll be betting on wins as opposed to betting on points.

There are a couple of different betting strategies to use when betting on NFL regular season wins, but the actual process of making the bet is the same.

Every team in the NFL will have a total set, and you can simply choose to take the “over” or the “under.”

Most of these bets will be made before the season begins, but you can make this bet anytime that the odds remain open.

Based on the results from the previous week, the regular season win total line could change significantly for some teams.

The standard NFL betting lines for over/under bets is usually -110 for each side, but that won’t always be the case when it comes to win totals.

You will see many different NFL odds listed , and those numbers are all based on probability based on the schedule.

Here is an example of what an NFL regular season win totals bet might look like, using the Dallas Cowboys as an example.

Dallas Cowboys:
Over 9.5 Wins -115
Under 9.5 Wins +125

Based on the NFL odds of this example above you immediately see that the Cowboys are expected to win at least 10 games.

That betting option is the favorite and taking the under would mean that the Cowboys fell short of expectations.

This also means that you will get less money if you take the over, and more money if you bet on the under and it hits.

It would take a $115 bet on the over to win $100, and a $100 bet on the under would earn you a payout of $125.