UFC 329 Main Fight Details
Max Holloway (-305) vs Conor McGregor (+250) | Main Fight
- Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026, 20:00 ET
- Venue: T-Mobile Arena. Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Our UFC betting escapades wrapped up 2025 with Kape vs Royval as the final event of 2025. With Christmas and New Year 2026 celebrations upon us, a 5-week wait for Dana White and Co. to begin the Paramount era has begun. Although this prolonged absence from the octagon is painful for MMA diehards, the two numbered events lined up were worth the wait!
The pay-per-view model is dead, and the UFC’s takeover of combat sports continues. More imperatively, Justin Gaethje won the Interim Lightweight title against Paddy Pimblett in the first event of the year, while Sean O’Malley defeated Song Yadong as well. In the UFC 325 event, one of the most renowned UFC fighters, Alexander Volkanovski, defeated Diego Lopes and kept the Featherweight division title belt.
In UFC 326, Charles Oliveira defeated Max Holloway and took the BMF title away from him with a win by unanimous decision. In UCF 327, Carlos Ulberg won the Vacant Light Heavyweight title after knocking out Jiri Prochazka, while Sean Strickland won the Middleweight title after giving Khamzat Chimaev his first-ever defeat in professional MMA.
In the UFC Freedom 250 special event, Justin Gaethje gave us the biggest upset of the year by defeating Ilia Topuria and claiming the UFC Lightweight title. In contrast, Cyril Gane defeated Alex Pereira and won the Heavyweight Interim championship.
Now, it’s time for the special event UFC 329, which will have Conor McGregor back in the octagon against Max Holloway.
We also have the latest UFC Fight Night odds every weekend when there’s no numbered or special event, too!
UFC 329 Odds To Bet
UFC 329 doesn’t ease bettors into International Fight Week, far from it. The card starts with Conor McGregor trying to solve Max Holloway at welterweight more than a decade after their first meeting, and the price does some talking before we even get to the prop menu.
Holloway is favored, while McGregor is being treated like the comeback underdog. The intriguing question isn’t whether the rematch is big enough; it certainly is, but whether the market is leaning too hard into recent activity, or still leaving room for McGregor’s early danger.
That wagering tension carries through the UFC 329 odds card overall. Paddy Pimblett brings another public-money layer against Benoit Saint Denis, for example, while the supporting fights give bettors a few cleaner matchup reads away from the hype of Notorious’ return.
| Fight |
Moneyline Odds |
Market Lens |
What to Watch |
| Max Holloway vs Conor McGregor |
Holloway -305 / McGregor +250 |
Main event moneyline, method props |
Holloway pace against McGregor’s early power |
| Benoit Saint Denis vs Paddy Pimblett |
Saint Denis -200 / Pimblett +170 |
Moneyline, totals, submission props |
Pressure grappling against Pimblett scrambles |
| Cory Sandhagen vs Mario Bautista |
Sandhagen +130 / Bautista -150 |
Bantamweight moneyline |
Experience against current form |
| Brandon Royval vs Lone’er Kavanagh |
Royval +145 / Kavanagh -170 |
Flyweight moneyline/live markets |
Activity, scrambles and close-round optics |
| Gable Steveson vs Elisha Ellison |
Steveson -1800 / Ellison +900 |
Favorite/parlay pricing |
Debut volatility against a wide number |
UFC 329 Main Event Odds: McGregor vs Holloway 2
The UFC 329 main event is simple enough to understand yet awkward to price. McGregor’s name value still pulls attention, but don’t get this confused with odds value because the number has to account for his five-year UFC layoff. Holloway’s case is tied to pace, durability, constant activity, and the ability to stretch the fight into deep waters.
The tighter betting read may come down to timing because McGregor’s best path is early damage before Holloway settles into volume. Holloway’s price makes more sense, however, especially if bettors believe the layoff shows after the first few exchanges.
Paddy Pimblett’s Fight Is Durability Driven
Pimblett vs Saint Denis is a clearer fight for betting on UFC because the handicap is less about nostalgia and more about whether Pimblett can survive pressure without losing minutes. ‘Paddy the Baddy’ can turn chaos into offense, but a fight spent defending takedowns or getting backed up with heavy leather changes how his underdog price reads.
If Pimblett stays at plus money, the appeal comes from durability and market popularity, refusing to realize what may happen once exchanges get messy. BSD, as a favorite, is easier to justify when bettors trust his fast pace to bank rounds before Pimblett creates a swing moment.
Other UFC 329 Fights to Watch
Sandhagen vs Bautista: This bout is a useful market-check fight because the UFC odds may depend on how much the market values proven elite minutes. Sandhagen has faced deeper UFC opposition, while Bautista’s momentum and rise give the matchup a sharper short-term edge.
Royval vs Kavanagh: We have a live-betting interest here because flyweight optics can shift quickly. Royval’s volume and submission threats make him dangerous even when rounds look chaotic. Kavanagh’s case is cleaner if he controls the position long enough to slow that pace.
Gable Steveson’s UFC debut is a different type of line. Heavy favorite prices can look useful inside parlays, but debut fights carry information risk. His talent is obvious, but MMA translation still has to be proven!
In conclusion, UFC 329 has enough celebrity pull to distort the casual side of the board. The sharper UFC bets may come from waiting until props, totals, and method markets settle, then checking whether the moneyline still matches the matchup.
Bet on UFC Fight Night
Dricus Du Plessis (-315) vs Kamaru Usman (+258) | Main Fight
- Date: Saturday, July 18, 2026, 19:00 ET
- Venue: Paycom Center. Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA.
UFC 2025, Year in Review
From a historically entertaining standpoint, the UFC in 2025 isn’t likely to be remembered. Unfortunately, backup plans and star power were clearly lacking. We should’ve seen this coming when we started January 2025 with Islam Makhachev defending his title against a short-notice opponent, Renato Moicano, instead of Arman Tsarukyan.
Ultimately, there were two huge fights fans wanted: Islam Makhachev vs Ilia Topuria and Tom Aspinall vs Jon Jones. We got neither. While this wasn’t directly the fault of the UFC, super fights were lacking, as questions around the UFC’s star power became more prominent than in past years.
With that said, 2025 wasn’t a complete miss for UFC fighters. Alex Pereira’s redemption against Magomed Ankalaev propelled his superstar status, WMMA got a new Queen in Kayla Harrison, while Merab Dvalishvili entered the bantamweight GOAT conversation.
Regarding the fights themselves, Joshua Van and Brandon Royval delivered an instant classic, Petr Yan put on a career performance to derail Merab’s 14-fight win streak and championship reign, and Max Holloway sent Dustin Poirier into retirement after an unforgettable five-round war, to name a few.
We can celebrate 2025 or dwell on its downfalls, but a new era of the UFC is upon us, and it arrives in the shape of a new broadcasting deal.
The UFC in 2026: Paramount+ Era
The UFC and ESPN officially parted ways on December 14, 2025, along with the pay-per-view model that has been the lone method of viewing major numbered events. The UFC and Paramount partnership begins on January 24 when UFC 324 broadcasts on Paramount+, with the initial 13 numbered UFC events scheduled in 2026 as a part of customers’ Paramount+ subscription at no additional cost.
With the desire to deliver and impress their all-new partner, the UFC is already giving us stacked cards, as evidenced by the previously discussed UFC 324 and 325 events. Said events will run back-to-back, and with the inclusion of cards such as the White House event in the summer, and the return of champions like Tom Aspinall, Alex Pereira, Khamzat Chimaev, and Islam Makhachev, expected in the first half of 2026, a historical year of MMA action could very well be upon us.