Going Out on an F5 Limb: Bet Reds to Strike Early
My Monday MLB picks present a unique opportunity for bettors to leverage the first five innings (F5) odds on the Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres. This distinctive betting strategy hones in on the starting pitching, eliminating the uncertainty of the bullpen later in the game. With Nick Lodolo leading the Reds, this matchup is a prime example of how early-game dynamics and pitcher matchups can provide substantial value.
The Cincinnati Reds and the power of friendship against the $1 billion Dodgers pic.twitter.com/0Brz9T3ps2 https://t.co/NOf8pabn29
— Schizzie (@Schizziee2) April 28, 2024
This approach increases your chances and reduces risk, making it an appealing choice for those seeking to optimize their MLB betting efficiency early in the week.
F5 Pick: Reds +0.5 (-110) vs Padres
Looking to place a smart bet online? Here’s why the Reds, with their strong performance in the first five innings runline, are as tempting as a freshly baked pie on a window sill. Nick Lodolo is dominating the mound with a fastball that sizzles at 94 mph and a curveball that drops like the bass line at a dubstep concert.
Meanwhile, the Padres’ lineup has been swinging like they’re using pool noodles instead of bats, losing seven of their last 10 games and approaching panic mode.
Nick Lodolo, Vicious Breaking Balls. 😤 pic.twitter.com/M7HprgidQL
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) April 24, 2024
Now, let’s delve into the numbers. Even a high school math class couldn’t overlook these. The Padres have been about as reliable as an Italian supercar with an F5 ATS record of 15-16 and a dismal return on investment of -7.72%. They’re even less impressive at home, sporting a 6-11 record. On the other hand, the Reds are progressing steadily with a 7-5 record on the road in the first five, making betting on them seem more secure than betting your buddy he can’t eat just one Lay’s potato chip.
Nathan Eovaldi, Trickster.
1 Disengagement…and then another quick throw over (without stepping back on the rubber) to try to catch Elly De La Cruz napping.
Only counts as 1 disengagement.
De La Cruz was entertained. pic.twitter.com/yRfNfi5Zc2
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) April 27, 2024
Cincy’s bats may not be the hottest in the league, but with four guys slugging over .459 and Elly De La Cruz swinging like he’s in a home run derby, betting on the Reds to cover the first five against the struggling Padres is as exciting as finding money in your pocket. So, let’s back Lodolo and the Reds to keep things tight early on and leave the Padres questioning if they’re playing baseball or pinball with all those missed swings!
Question Of The Day
Who has the worst F5 ATS ROI?
The Colorado Rockies at 8-19 ATS have the worst F5 ROI in the MLB at -39.73%. The Cleveland Guardians, meanwhile, have the best at 29.52%.
The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.
