Pfaadt, Diamondbacks Pick To Even Series with Padres
The big news surrounding the San Diego Padres is the acquisition of reigning National League batting champion Luis Arraez from the Miami Marlins though that won’t impact Game 2 of the series with the Arizona Diamondbacks.
The Padres scored the first seven runs against Arizona on Friday on the way to a 7-1 victory but Arizona is priced by the MLB betting lines at -123 to even the series with +160 odds to cover at -1½ on the run line. The Padres have +113 odds to extend their winning streak to four games.
Arizona had won five of the previous six games before Friday’s season-opening loss with the road team being favored seven times in the previous 12 meetings. Just two of the last seven games between the Padres and the Diamondbacks went over the MLB against the spread picks.
When looking at MLB futures odds, four teams ahead of reigning National League champion Arizona in the odds of winning the World Series with the Padres tied for 15th at +5000 in the championship odds.
Padres vs Diamondbacks Game Information
- Game: Padres (17-18) vs Diamondbacks (14-19)
- Date/Time: Saturday, 8:10 p.m. ET
- Location: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
- Padres vs Diamondbacks Live Stream: MLB.tv
Padres vs Diamondbacks Moneyline Odds and Run Line
Pfaadt Starting to Pitch In
Michael King was one of the key pieces who came from the Yankees in the trade for outfielder Juan Soto. After going 2-0 with a 3.14 ERA in his first three starts with San Diego, things have unraveled.
King has lost three straight starts and in his last four outings, he has surrendered 22 hits, eight home runs, and 20 runs in 21.2 innings.
Arizona starter Brandon Pfaadt has lowered his ERA from 6.48 to 4.63 over his last three starts. He had a season-high 11 strikeouts the last time out. He allowed one hit and no runs in seven innings the last time he pitched against the Padres.
Sequel Not Topping the Original
Some of the recent hitting numbers for the Diamondbacks are downright scary for the wrong reasons.
Lourdes Gurriel is 1-for-26 over the last six games, reigning National League Rookie of the Year Corbin Carroll continues to struggle as his batting average fell to .192 after going 0-for-3 in the series opener with his modest three-game hitting streak came to an end. That is something to consider when making player prop bets after six of his 13 hits against the Padres last season went for extra bases.
Jake McCarthy and Gabriel Moreno are both hitting under .200 over the last week.
Jake Starting to Rake
Other players on the Padres garner more attention but nobody is hotter at the plate than Jake Cronenworth. He has homered in each of the last two games. He is 11-27 with six runs, five extra-base hits, and 10 RBIs during a seven-game hitting streak.
Jake Cronenworth – San Diego Padres (6)
pic.twitter.com/GIpK4dWiie— MLB HR Videos (@MLBHRVideos) May 4, 2024
It was a bit of an all-or-nothing scenario for Cronenworth last season versus the Diamondbacks as he had five multi-hit games but was also hitless in five games.
Padres vs Diamondbacks Betting Trends
- Arizona is 8-8 as the favorite.
- The Padres are 5-7 as the betting underdog.
- The Padres are 9-6 on the road and have covered in 11 of those games.
- Seven of Arizona’s last eight games went under the total.
- Ten of Arizona’s 17 home games went under the total.
- The total has gone under in 13 of San Diego’s last 19 games played in May.
Injury Update
Pitchers Glenn Otto and Luis Patino are on the injured list for the Padres.
Infielder Geraldo Perdomo and outfielder Alek Thomas are out for the Diamondbacks as are pitchers Miguel Castro and Luis Frias.
What to Look for
The retractable roof could stay open with no chance of rain. Temperatures could top 90 so balls might be flying out of Chase Field on Saturday.
Both the Padres and the Diamondbacks have been pretty underwhelming in the early portion of the season. Will that continue in this series?
Arizona won each of the last two series against San Diego and will need to win on Saturday to have a chance for that trend to continue.
Four of Arizona’s last five home games landed under the total and with a total at 9 for this game, it could happen again on Saturday.
Questions of the Day
Which team had a better ATS record coming into Saturday's game, the Padres or the Diamondbacks?
The Padres are 17-18 against the run line with the Diamondbacks posting a 15-18 ATS mark.
What are good player prop options for the Padres and the Diamondbacks on Saturday??
San Diego’s Fernando Tatis Jr. has his first home run in 13 games as part of a three-hit game on Friday. He could be an option to keep it going in Game 2 of the series. Take a look at the strikeout props for Arizona’s Brandon Pfaadt even though the Padres are pretty solid at limiting the strikeouts on the road.
