Harper Homers, Carrasco K-Struggle: A Tuesday MLB Parlay You Can’t Refuse

Remember Hunter Strickland? He is on the Angels active roster and could face Bryce Harper for the first time in almost 5 years during this series.
pic.twitter.com/D1V7rbT87x

— Phillies Tailgate (@PhilsTailgate) April 29, 2024

Seize the chance to reap substantial rewards with these meticulously calculated bets that combine seasoned insight with statistical savviness. Don’t let this opportunity slip through your fingers.

Here’s a look at some MLB Odds to consider!

Phillies Bryce Harper Over 1½ Totals Bases From Hits

Placing a bet on Bryce Harper to amass more than 1.5 total bases against Tyler Anderson is as close to a ‘sure thing’ as spilling coffee on a white shirt the moment you step out the door. Harper’s historical domination over Anderson is like a scene from a superhero comic—6 hits in 10 at-bats, including three homers and three doubles. It’s not just good; it’s ‘Harper might as well have a reserved parking spot on the bases’ good.

Let’s talk about those hits—each hotter than the last, averaging an exit velocity of 101.8 mph. And with an average launch angle of 16.9 degrees, those hits aren’t just line drives; they’re majestic arcs that probably leave rainbows on their way out of the park.

Bryce Harper works on his swing in rare behind-the-scenes footage pic.twitter.com/3h6V1Wfewh

— Emily Jones (@ejreports) April 29, 2024

As for Anderson, despite a sparkling 1.78 ERA, his 4.55 expected ERA whispers that trouble is brewing like a storm on the horizon. He’s been particularly generous to lefties like Harper, making this less of a pitching matchup and more of a charity giveaway. Given that the Angels’ bullpen seems to be competing for how many home runs they can surrender, it’s shaping up to be a perfect storm for Harper to do some severe damage.

So, when considering your MLB bets, think of it this way: betting on Harper to go over 1.5 total bases is almost too good to pass up. The stats, the history, the odds, and the matchup all point to a big night for Harper.

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Guardians Carlos Carrasco Under 3½ Strikeouts

Betting on Carlos Carrasco to go under 3.5 strikeouts against the Houston Astros might feel risky but potentially very rewarding. After all, 3.5 Ks isn’t a high mark to hit for an MLB pitcher. But the Astros are notoriously tricky on pitchers, with their lineup featuring seven players who strike out less than 16% of the time against right-handers. They’re about as strikeout-averse as it gets.

the mets going from carlos carrasco to adrian houserpic.twitter.com/WEAQNeolMR

— vik (@VikLGM) April 27, 2024

Bless his heart, Carrasco isn’t exactly in the spring chicken phase of his career. He’s more about craftiness than velocity these days, trying to paint the corners like a meticulous artist. He reminds me of a tan Jamie Moyer, except for the results. Unfortunately, this approach has led to more free passes than a VIP event, with a walk rate soaring to 12.3%. That’s not exactly the recipe you want when you need strikeouts.

With a strikeout rate that’s more middle of the road than a double yellow line at 18.9%, Carrasco is sitting in the 28th percentile in the league. That’s not just low; it’s “might need a telescope to find the league leaders” low. So, a bet on the under here isn’t just throwing caution to the wind; it’s recognizing that the Astros will likely keep the bat on the ball and limit Carrasco’s chances to rack up the Ks.

Grab this wager at the sportsbook, and let’s hope the Astros continue their contact-heavy approach, turning Carrasco’s outing into more of a groundball gala than a strikeout spree.

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