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Draper vs Carreno Busta Predictions, Game Preview, Live Stream, Odds & Picks

Qualifier Bidding for Spot in Semifinals at Montreal

Jack Draper’s Montreal debut couldn’t be going better had the 20-year-old qualifier from Great Britain scripted it himself. He’s through to his maiden ATP Masters 1000 quarterfinal round of the first of two ATP Masters 1000 events on the American summer hard-court swing in the lead-up to the 2022 U.S. Open.

Standing in Draper’s way of a spot in the tournament’s final four is Spain’s Pablo Carreno Busta, who is through to his fourth quarterfinal of the year and first in a hard-court event.

Minas Panagiotakis / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP

Who will advance into the penultimate round when the pair collides in the final eight on Friday’s tennis betting card? The match is set to draw the curtain on Friday’s tennis betting card with a start time scheduled (not before) 8 p.m. ET.

Read on for our quarterfinal preview of Jack Draper vs Pablo Carreno-Busta at the ATP Montreal Masters 1000. We’ll check the latest tennis news, stats, injury reports, and tennis odds for the Rogers Cup quarterfinals and serve up our choice tennis picks and predictions for you to consider.

ATP Montreal Masters Outrights

  • Nick Kyrgios +125
  • Felix Auger-Aliassime +550
  • Tommy Paul +650
  • Hubert Hurkacz +700
  • Pablo Carreno Busta +800
  • Casper Ruud +1000
  • Daniel Evans +1100
  • Jack Draper +1200

Qualifier Draper Reaches Quarters

Draper arrived in Montreal with an 8-6 record after seeing limited play on the ATP Tour level. The 20-year-old started the year ranked at No. 262 and he’s been working on building his ranking in the lower circuits.

Draper’s first big breakout moment came in Eastbourne when he reached the semifinals. He beat Jenson Brooksby, Diego Schwartzman and Ryan Peniston before losing to Maxime Cressy.

Draper qualified for the ATP Masters 1000 event in Montreal. He opened his tournament against Hugo Gaston in the first round with a straight-set win, 6-2, 6-3.

In the R32, he stunned tennis betting markets with a straight-set win over third seed Stefanos Tsitsipas, 7-5, 7-6 (4).

In the R16, Draper got off to a fast start and took the first set off Gael Monfils, but an injury cut the Frenchman’s bid in the second set.

Jack Draper takes the opening set 6-2 in his match against Monfils! @jackdraper0 | @OBNmontreal | #OBN22 pic.twitter.com/6vSFpKr9GQ

— ATP Tour (@atptour) August 11, 2022

Carreno Busta Upsets Sinner

Carreno Busta’s path to the quarterfinals was littered with stumbling blocks, top seeds and tournament favorites.

The Spaniard opened his tournament against one of the top favorites, Matteo Berrettini. However, he didn’t get the memo as he dismantled the big-serving Italian in routine fashion, 6-3, 6-2.

In the R32, Carreno Busta overcome Next-Gen star Holger Rune with surprising ease, 6-0, 6-3. And he carried that same momentum and decisive play into the R16 where he dispatched another tournament favorite, beating Jannik Sinner in straight sets, 6-2, 6-4.

Draper vs Carreno Busta Head-to-Head

This is the first-ever meeting between this pair at the ATP Tour level and beyond.

Draper vs Carreno Busta Game Information

  • Game: Draper(8-6) vs Carreno-Busta (22-17)
  • Location: Montreal, Canada
  • Day/Time: Friday, Aug. 12th, 8 p.m. ET (Not Before)
  • TV Broadcast: Tennis Channel
  • Paul vs Evans Live Stream: TennisTV

Draper vs Carreno Busta Betting Lines

Team Handicap Moneyline Total Team Total
Pablo Carreno Busta -3 -115 -250 22½-115o 12½-130o


Jack Draper +3 -105 +210 22½-105u 12-120o


Draper vs Carreno Busta Betting Verdict

As per the latest betting online odds, Carreno Busta is the firm favorite at -250 to win outright. The Spaniard has the ranking advantage (No. 23 ahead of the tournament), experience and form over Draper, who’s the underdog at +210.

The Next-Gen Briton currently ranks No. 82 and comes into the event with limited experience at this level. That said, Draper has shown he’s more than capable of beating the world’s best players.

The way he outshot, outhit and outlasted Tsitsipas in their marathon, second-round contest belied his limited experience. He played like a player that belonged on one of tennis’ biggest stages.

So, Carreno Busta might be the smart bet, but for those looking for a value bet, Draper can’t be overlooked. It’s a longshot, but a bet worth considering. At the very least, he’ll make a fist of it, which should make this a fighting showdown to bring down the curtain on Friday’s quarterfinal round.

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