NL Central Race Tightens
The Colorado Rockies surprised many MLB fans on Tuesday night by erupting for 16 runs and blowing out the first-place St. Louis Cardinals. We had the over in that game but didn’t expect Colorado to do all the work for us.
With Tuesday’s loss and a victory by Milwaukee over Tampa Bay, St. Louis is now in imminent danger of falling out of the top spot in the National League Central. The Rockies are precisely the kind of team the Cardinals need to be beating and can’t afford another showing like Tuesday night.
Rebound Opportunity for Cardinals
The St. Louis Cardinals are desperate to remain on top of the NL Central and can’t be losing games to teams like the Rockies. Luckily for St. Louis, the Rockies are sending Kyle Freeland to the mound for his 22nd start. The lanky lefty enters Wednesday at 7-7 with a 4.56 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 120.1 innings.
While those are decent figures, Freeland has two things going against him. The first reason to consider fading Freeland is his awful career numbers against the Cardinals. In 59 at-bats, the current St. Louis lineup has a .351 batting average and .857 OPS against Freeland.
The second reason to avoid the Rockies is that when pitching at Coors Field, Freeland’s ERA shoots up to 5.55. At home, he allows, on average, a run to cross every other inning. Furthermore, the Cardinals prey on left-handed pitchers with a combined average of .263 against southpaws.
Rockies Facing Tough Matchup on Mound
We nailed our Game 1 bet on the over at 11 runs after the Colorado Rockies erupted at the plate and covered the total by itself. The Rockies jumped all over starter Mike Mikolas and scored an astonishing 10 runs in 2.2 innings. The craziest part might be that the Rockies only hit one home run against Mikolas. Colorado did its damage off 14 hits in less than three innings.
The trouble is, the Rockies will have a much tougher time plating runs with Jose Quintana on the mound. In 20 starts as a member of the Pittsburgh Pirates, Quintana went just 3-5, but his ERA of 3.39 and WHIP of 1.23 remain impressive.
The good news is that the Pirates traded him to the Cardinals and Quintana shined in his first start. Even better, his debut with St. Louis was fantastic. Quintana held the Cubs to one run off one hit over six innings. The lone hiccup was a solo shot by Patrick Wisdom in the first inning. After that, Quintana settled down and fanned seven Cubs en route to a win. It appears the change of scenery was just what Quintana needed.
Cardinals vs Rockies Head-to-Head
Tuesday’s game was the first meeting of the season and ended in a blowout win by Colorado. The home team is now 7-1 over the previous eight games between these two teams dating back to the start of last season. But, it’s only the third time the over hit in that span.
Cardinals vs Rockies Game Information
- Game: Cardinals (60-49) vs Rockies (49-63)
- Location: Coors Field, Denver, Colo.
- Day/Time: Wednesday, Aug. 10, 8:40 p.m. ET
- Cardinals vs Rockies Live Stream: MLB.tv
Cardinals vs Rockies Betting Lines
|St. Louis Cardinals
J. Quintana -L
|-1½ -105||-155||12½ -105o||6½ -115o
K. Freeland -L
|+1½ -115||+140||12½ -115u||5½ +105o
Cardinals vs Rockies Prediction
Despite the show that Colorado put on Tuesday night, the fact remains that they are a terrible team. Colorado is 28.5 games out of first place and is bringing up the rear in the NL West at 49-63.
With Quintana looking sharp in his debut with the Cardinals and Freeland’s issues against St. Louis, the Cardinals should even up the series.