Week 11 of the NFL season is complete. The Philadelphia Eagles and San Francisco 49ers have evened out and are tied for the top spot in our NFC Super Bowl rankings. After Week 9, we saw the defending NFC champion Philadelphia Eagles claim the top spot in our NFC Super Bowl rankings away from San Francisco while the 49ers were on their bye. The 49ers returned to action in Week 10, and they jumped over the Eagles while they were on their bye. After both walked away from Week 11 with wins, they are tied at the top of the board.
Every NFC team has had its ups and downs in the first half of the season, and the Eagles and 49ers are no exception. Philadelphia has been the more consistent team thanks its large part to health on both sides of the ball. The Eagles own the best record in the NFL at 9-1 and walked out of Arrowhead victorious in Week 11. This win is by far the most significant of any team in the NFL this season.
The Eagles are winners of four straight. They defeated the Miami Dolphins in Week 7 and followed it up with a comeback win over the Washington Commanders on the road in Week 8. The Eagles went into their bye on a high note after they defeated the Dallas Cowboys in Week 9. No win will be more important than the one they got in Week 11 in the Super Bowl rematch versus the Kansas City Chiefs.
Meanwhile, a week after the Detroit Lions had to outlast the Los Angeles Chargers in a shootout, they had to rally from a late 12-point deficit to defeat the Chicago Bears. The Dallas Cowboys took care of business and steamrolled the Carolina Panthers. The NFC is not as deep as the AFC, but there are a few teams that are true Super Bowl contenders in 2023.
There has been plenty of movement in our NFL Super Bowl odds as we head into the second half of the season. Let’s break down the latest NFC Super Bowl rankings ahead of Week 12. Who is the favorite to represent the conference in the 2024 Super Bowl at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas on Feb. 11, 2024?
Here’s a look at some Super Bowl odds to consider!
Tied 1. San Francisco 49ers (+450) Tied Atop Super Bowl 58 Odds
(Last Week 2, + 500)
Since the 49ers’ bye in Week 9, they have looked like the juggernaut we’ve grown accustomed to seeing. San Francisco lost three straight games in October but regrouped during its bye in Week 9. We saw their Super Bowl odds fall after their first loss in Week 6, but the 49ers have climbed back to the top.
The 49ers were 5-3 heading into their bye, and they found themselves behind the Seattle Seahawks in the NFC West. Since then, the 49ers got back All-Pro left tackle Trent Williams and star wide receiver Deebo Samuel. They have put together back-to-back dominating performances over the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
The 49ers thrashed the Buccaneers in Week 11 by a score of 27-14. The 49ers have now scored at least 27 points in every win this season. San Francisco improved to 7-3, and Brock Purdy has been nearly perfect over the last two weeks.
Purdy has completed 78.4% of his throws for 629 yards, six touchdowns, and zero interceptions. He finished the Week 11 win with a perfect passer rating, becoming the first Niners quarterback to achieve that since Joe Montana.
The 49ers’ defense has been phenomenal this season, holding opponents to a league-low 15.7 points per game. The NFC West leaders made a splash at the trade deadline when they acquired defensive end Chase Young to join forces alongside Nick Bosa, and he is already paying dividends for their incredible pass rush.
— Up & Adams (@UpAndAdamsShow) November 21, 2023
After failing to score a touchdown for the first time in 17 games, running back Christian McCaffrey didn’t waste any time starting a new scoring streak. He scored in the first quarter on a 4-yard pass from Purdy. McCaffrey’s incredible streak of scoring in 17 straight games as a 49er came to an end the previous week when he failed to find the end zone in the win over the Jaguars. McCaffrey remains the highest non-QB in NFL MVP future odds at +3000.
The 49ers will look to stay on track when they travel to Seattle to battle the Seahawks on Thanksgiving night. Following that game is a massive clash with the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 13!
Tied 1. Philadelphia Eagles (+450) Co-Leaders in Super Bowl 58 Odds
(Last Week 2, + 550)
The Eagles are tied with the 49ers for the top spot in our NFC Super Bowl ranks. The Eagles own the best record in the NFL at 9-1, and despite the record, they haven’t necessarily played their best yet.
The 49ers have put together some flat-out dominating performances, but the Eagles haven’t had that same success yet. The 49ers’ average margin of victory is 12.2 points, whereas the Eagles is just 6.1 points. Still, the Eagles find a way to get the win week after week, and none have been bigger than the one they walked away with in Week 11.
The Eagles defeated the Kansas City Chiefs 21-17 on Monday night in the Super Bowl rematch we all had circled on our calendars. The Eagles are the first team to win at least nine of their first 10 games in back-to-back seasons since a Peyton Manning-led Colts squad in 2005-06. The Eagles escaped Arrowhead with the win, but things could look differently if a few Chiefs receivers didn’t drop some easy throws.
— Good Morning Football (@gmfb) November 21, 2023
Jalen Hurts and AJ Brown have been dynamic through the first half of the regular season, but Brown ran into a buzzsaw that is Chiefs cornerback L’Jarius Sneed. Hurts struggled through the raindrops on Monday night, throwing for just 150 yards, but he managed to score two rushing touchdowns in the win. Hurts finds himself alone at the top of NFL MVP odds, priced at +250 as we head into Week 12.
The Eagles’ defense has struggled this season, in particular its secondary, but they managed to keep Patrick Mahomes in check. They have the best run defense in the NFL, allowing just 76.5 rushing yards per game. Philadelphia’s offensive line is well-known around the NFL as the best unit. I’m eager to see the clash in Week 13 that pegs the Eagles’ O-line up against the 49ers’ defensive line and vice versa.
Following the highly anticipated Super Bowl rematch, the Eagles will host a reinvigorated Buffalo Bills squad on Sunday. After that is the matchup with the 49ers that will likely decide who is the favorite in Super Bowl betting as we are nearing the postseason.
3. Dallas Cowboys (+1000) Holding Steady in Super Bowl 58 Odds
(Last Week 3, + 1000)
For the second week in a row, the Cowboys’ Super Bowl 58 odds remain stagnant at 10 to 1 despite their rout of the Carolina Panthers. The Cowboys knocked off the New York Giants in Week 10 by a score of 49-17 and followed it up by crushing Carolina 33-10. The Cowboys improved to 7-3 with the win.
Dak Prescott continued to play well, finishing the game with 189 passing yards and two touchdowns. DaRon Bland tied an NFL record with his fourth pick-6 of the season. Give the Cowboys credit for taking care of business back-to-back weeks over two of the NFL’s worst teams. They didn’t overlook who was in front of them, which is important for any top contender to do. The defense rolled with seven sacks of Bryce Young.
DaRon Bland is having an insane season 🤯 pic.twitter.com/FhJtp00tLH
— PFF (@PFF) November 20, 2023
Over the last five games, the Cowboys have averaged 33.6 points. The Cowboys have three straight home games on deck.
The Cowboys return home on Thanksgiving to host the Washington Commanders, looking to extend its home winning streak to 13 straight games. The Cowboys are double-digit favorites for the third straight week in that one.
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4. Detroit Lions (+1200) Hold Steady in Super Bowl 58 Odds
(Last Week 4, + 1200)
The Detroit Lions are patiently waiting for their time. They are 8-2 following their comeback win over the Chicago Bears in Week 11. The Lions hold a commanding lead in the NFC North. Detroit is looking to host its first-ever playoff game at Ford Field and the first-ever home playoff game since the 1993 season, which was during the first Bush administration. Detroit is poised to make a deep run in the NFC playoffs in 2023, and there is even a realistic shot that the NFC Championship Game will go through the Motor City.
The Lions had to travel west coming out of their bye in Week 10 to battle the Los Angeles Chargers, and they managed to outlast them 41-38. They returned home this week, and they needed a late fourth-quarter comeback to defeat their NFC North rivals 31-26.
It wasn’t an easy win for Detroit. A week after Jared Goff torched the Chargers’ league-worst pass defense, he threw a season-high three interceptions against the Bears. Detroit found itself down two scores in the fourth quarter, but Goff overcame his early woes and led the Lions down the field to a go-ahead touchdown with 29 seconds left in the game.
Former Bears running back David Montgomery, who signed with the Lions in free agency, ultimately punched in the go-ahead score on a 1-yard run. Goff finished with 236 yards and two touchdowns. It was the first game since 2019 that he threw more than two interceptions in a game.
*DC howl* pic.twitter.com/brY2EQhud2
— Detroit Lions (@Lions) November 20, 2023
The Lions have won 16 of their last 20 games overall, and their schedule is inviting the rest of the way. Up next for the Lions is their annual Thanksgiving Day game when they host the Green Bay Packers on Thursday afternoon. Detroit won’t face a top NFC contender until Week 17 when they battle the Cowboys on the road.
Questions Of The Day
Which NFC teams are currently leading the Super Bowl rankings?
The NFC teams currently leading the Super Bowl rankings are the Philadelphia Eagles and the San Francisco 49ers.
Which NFC team offers the best value for betting to win the Super Bowl?
The NFC team currently offering the best betting value to win the Super Bowl is the Detroit Lions.