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Hermansson vs Dolidze Prediction, Fight Preview, Live Stream, Odds & Picks

No. 8 Middleweight Takes on Replacement

Hermansson Favored vs Live Underdog

Jack Hermansson now faces Roman Dolidze after Derek Brunson pulled out. Though it’s a short-notice bout for Dolidze, he is a dangerous underdog here as he can match the Swede wherever the fight goes. The UFC lines indicate, however, that Hermansson should beat Dolidze and further cement himself as a title contender.

Let’s check the latest UFC odds, stats, and UFC lines for Hermansson vs Dolidze. We’ve plenty of UFC 282 odds for you to consider.

Roman Dolidze of Georgia reacts to defeating Kyle Daukaus
Roman Dolidze -Carmen Mandato / Getty Images North America / Getty Images via AFP

Dolidze: Chance to Reach New Level

Coming off an impressive knockout over Phil Hawes, Dolidze is looking for an encore as he takes on his toughest opponent. Hermansson is the eighth-ranked UFC middleweight and has been in the octagon with title contenders like Sean Strickland and Marvin Vettori (albeit in losing efforts).

Dolidze, originally a grappler, has started to sharpen his striking. He starched Hawes and Kyle Daukaus on his feet and owns six knockouts on his pro resume. However, is 10 days enough of a training camp for him to outdo Hermansson?

The Georgian is also a hefty middleweight so a smaller timeframe may make a detrimental weight cut. But if he’s able to properly get through this, he has the skills and the momentum to pull off his third straight upset on the online gambling lines.

Can Hermansson Avoid Another Upset?

While Dolidze has been making money as an underdog, Hermansson has been on the wrong end of upsets. Most notably, the “Joker” got brutalized by Jared Cannonier just as he was establishing himself as a title contender. And prior to that, he lost to Thiago Santos and Cezar Ferreira.

But all of that is ancient history considering Hermansson has beaten the likes of Kelvin Gastelum and Chris Curtis in short-notice bouts. For whatever reason, Hermansson’s original opponents have a habit of pulling out against him.

The top-10 fighter is a tough matchup against anyone. He is primarily a Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu specialist but has since developed his striking. While he has yet to threaten anyone on his feet, he is a prolific striker and lands 5.12 significant strikes per minute at a 43 percent clip. His proficiency everywhere makes him worth betting on online.

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Hermansson vs Dolidze Head-to-Head

Dolidze is slightly taller than Hermansson, although it is the latter who has the 1½-inch reach advantage. They are both 34 years old but Hermansson has significantly more professional experience with 30 fights to 12 for Dolidze.

Hermansson vs Dolidze Fight Information

  • Fighters: Hermansson (23-7-0) vs Dolidze (11-1-0)
  • Location: Amway Center, Orlando, Fla.
  • Day/Time: Saturday, Dec. 3, 10:40 p.m. ET
  • Hermansson vs Dolidze Live Stream: UFC Fight Pass

Take a Look at These Other 2 UFC Special Articles

Hermansson vs Dolidze Betting Lines

Hermansson vs Dolidze Picks & Prediction

As they say in the MMA community, this is a “dog or pass” situation. While it appears like Hermansson has all the skills to soundly beat Dolidze, we think the Georgian is the more dangerous fighter. He’ll hold his own in the grappling department and even threaten Hermansson on their feet. Dolidze is potentially the best UFC bet on this main card.

Jack Hermansson is listed at -190 in our Vegas UFC lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Hermansson, you can win $53. Roman Dolidze is +155, offering a chance to win $155 on a $100 wager.

The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Hermansson a 65.52% chance to win, with Dolidze at 39.22%. Bet on UFC Right Away!

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