They say politics is a “blood sport,” and although no athletes are competing on the field of battle, there are a myriad of smiling politicians seeking to win votes any way they can, including defaming their rivals.
A growing number of people have become interested in wagering on these outcomes, which is why BetUS Sportsbook has a wide range of election betting odds spanning congressional and presidential races in a special section of its site devoted to nothing but politics.
Below we analyze the pivotal races and the corresponding midterm election odds that will chart a course for the future of the United States.
Governor’s Race Odds – Florida
- Byron Donalds (R) – 550
- David Jolly (D) +350
Florida has not elected a Democrat to the governor’s office since 1994, and the current 2026 midterm betting odds indicate that is not likely to change. However, should Democrat David Jolly pull off an upset, it would have reverberating effects that could impact the 2028 presidential odds.
Ron DeSantis, Florida’s current governor and staunch Republican, cannot run for his seat due to term limits, but Congressman Byron Donalds received a ringing endorsement from President Trump and has amassed a massive campaign war chest.
He will be opposed by David Jolly, a former Republican-turned-Democrat whose stint as a once-conservative US congressman may have enough residual influence with moderate Conservatives to whisk him to Florida’s corner office. A pointed critic of Donald Trump, Jolly has the political savvy to negotiate Florida’s tumultuous political waters and articulate the need for a party shift in the Sunshine State.
House Odds: New York’s 17th Congressional District
- Mike Lawler (R) +170
- Cait Conley (D) – 260
Mike Lawler took office in 2022 and is running for reelection, but according to the US election odds at BetUS Sportsbook, his chances of maintaining his position as the US Congressman from New York’s 17th District are tenuous at best.
His opponent, Cait Conley, is a US combat veteran who has taken aim at Lawler’s record since being elected four years ago. She has focused her attention on limited healthcare benefits and rising housing costs, which she attributes to Lawler’s lack of legislative action on those fronts.
However, Mike Lawler has been lauded for his bipartisan leadership, and, during his first term, seven of his sponsored bills passed the House, with many becoming part of broader legislation. He will likely appeal to more moderate Democrats, and his reelection is considered pivotal to the Republicans maintaining control of the House.
Senate Odds: Iowa U.S. Senate
- Ashley Hinson (R) -165
- Josh Turek (D) +120
This is a critical open seat due to the retirement of Republican Senator Joni Ernst. It pits fellow Conservative Ashley Hinson, a former TV news anchor and current U.S. Congresswoman, against Democrat Josh Turek, a 2x Paralympic gold medalist in wheelchair basketball and an Iowa State representative.
Agricultural issues are paramount in rural Iowa, but more national topics such as access to public healthcare are also hot-button subjects that will be debated in the coming weeks.
Republicans hold sway in Iowa, which may, at least partially, account for Hinson’s competitive advantage, but the race remains extremely close, as evidenced by the Senate betting odds at BetUS.
Which Party Will Win the Most Seats After the 2026 US House of Representatives Elections?
- Republicans +350
- Democrats -600
The Republicans hold a razor-thin margin in the House, 218-212, with one Independent caucusing with them for a total of 219. That margin can easily flip, as we have seen Progressives gain momentum from several victories by the far left of the party, like New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani, who stated after his victory, “I was elected as a democratic socialist, and I will govern as a democratic socialist.”
Those who want to bet on the US election have ample opportunity to do so at BetUS, and in this political prop, the question being asked is which party will win more seats after the election.
That does not necessarily mean control of the House, as the Dems could win one or two more seats in this election and still lack control over it. Should they win three seats, it would be a tie (215-215), and neither party would be in “control” of the lower chamber.
2028 Presidential Odds: The Road to the Next Presidency
- Republican Party +100
- Democrat Party -140
- Independent Candidate +3000
Donald Trump will not be running in the 2028 election due to term limits, but BetUS is still offering a prop of +400 on him to do so. The mercurial and unpredictable president has gone against the grain before, but it would likely require an act of Congress for him to be able to run for a third term.
The 2028 presidential odds indicate the nation is leaning towards change at the expense of the Republicans. And although the leading Conservative candidates, Vice President JD Vance (+350) and Secretary of State Marco Rubio (+500), have the most star power in the Republican Party, they may be considered too right to assuage the concerns of even moderate Democrats.
California Governor Gavin Newsom (+500), Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff (+500), US Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (+700), and even former Vice President Kamala Harris (+1200) are leading contenders to seize the Democratic nomination in 2028.
BetUS has an entire array of props that can satisfy even the most ardent political junkie. We welcome our customers to put their political acumen to the test and invest in the candidates, parties, and a whole host of other props in a section of our site devoted exclusively to them.
