Friday, October 23, 8:00 EST · American Family Field
What the Market Expects
MLB odds for Friday’s Game 1 of the World Series expect a tight, low-scoring game.
One can tell that because the total is 6 runs. If you bet on the MLB, Milwaukee comes in as the -155 favorite with Tampa Bay a +138 underdog.
MLB lines have the Brewers at -1½ runs (+152) and Rays at +1½ (-175).
What the Team Totals Reveal
The Brewers won two of three games when the teams played in late March and early April. That shouldn’t factor in here as both teams went on to have great seasons.
Milwaukee has the best record in baseball. Tampa Bay had the best record in the American League. What is funny is neither team was considered the buzz team in their divisions. The New York Yankees were what the AL East was all about. The Chicago Cubs were the “it” team in the NL Central.
Both defied that and went on to strong campaigns. These teams are well-balanced. They have solid starting staffs, excellent bullpens and solid offenses. It should be a fascinating series as each tries to win its first MLB championship.
Reading the Total
The total sits at six. The reason for that is the expected matchup of aces, Jacob Misiorowski against Drew Rasmussen. The latter has been unhittable down the stretch.
Rasmussen is likely to go deeper than his Brewers counterpart. The Brewers are still cautious with Misirowski, who missed time during the season due to a tired arm. Rasmussen is good for seven or more.
Don’t expect to see a lot of offense if these two match up.
Pick
With the likely pitching matchup of aces who have been dealing big time, look for this to be a low-scoring game.
- Pick: Under 6 runs (-110).
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